Investing

Wall Street futures flat ahead of Fed minutes: 5 things to know before open

Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr

US stock futures were little changed on Wednesday as Wall Street tried to stabilise after a sharp technology-led selloff, with investors balancing easing Treasury yields against renewed Middle East risks and a busy slate of retail earnings.

Nasdaq 100 futures lagged after chip shares were hit hard on Tuesday, while the 30-year Treasury yield remained close to its highest level since 2007.

Oil also pushed higher as uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz kept a geopolitical premium in prices.

With Federal Reserve minutes due later and Target, TJX and other retailers reporting, markets face several tests before the opening bell.

5 things to know before market opens

1. Tech tries to steady after Tuesday’s rout

Futures pointed to a muted open after the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index tumbled about 5% on Tuesday, leading a broader retreat in growth shares.

Nasdaq 100 futures were modestly lower in the latest pre-market indications, while S&P 500 and Dow futures hovered around flat.

Nvidia and other AI-linked names remain in focus after the selloff revived concerns that crowded positioning is making one of this year’s strongest trades more vulnerable.

2. Treasury yields ease, but remain a threat

The bond market offered some relief, with the 10-year Treasury yield slipping towards 4.69% and the 30-year easing to about 5.27%.

Even so, the long bond remains close to Tuesday’s 5.337% peak, its highest since 2007.

Higher long-term borrowing costs have become an increasingly important constraint for expensive technology stocks, while heavy debt supply and fiscal concerns continue to keep pressure on the market.

3. Fed minutes could reset rate expectations

Minutes from the Fed’s July meeting are due at 2 pm ET. Policymakers held the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75% last month, but three officials dissented in favour of a quarter-point increase.

Traders have since reduced expectations for a September hike after softer inflation and employment signals.

Lombard Odier’s Florian Ielpo sees a more hawkish internal debate as a potential source of upward pressure on the expected rate path, though relatively contained inflation could limit how far long-term yields rise.

4. Oil keeps the inflation risk alive

Brent crude climbed towards $92 a barrel and WTI approached $86 as Washington and Tehran gave conflicting accounts of the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump said no talks with Iran were taking place and maintained the waterway was open, while Iranian officials disputed the broader picture.

The renewed oil rally matters beyond energy stocks.

A prolonged disruption could reignite inflation concerns, complicate the Fed’s job and keep upward pressure on bond yields.

5. Target leads a busy earnings morning

Target reported a 5.3% rise in quarterly net sales and 3.8% comparable-sales growth, while raising its full-year sales and profit outlook.

A $994 million tariff refund gave earnings a large boost, but traffic rose 3.6% and digital comparable sales increased 8.7%.

Estée Lauder gained nearly 7% in pre-market trading after forecasting fiscal 2027 profit above Wall Street estimates and posting stronger-than-expected quarterly sales.

TJX, Lowe’s and Analog Devices are also on Wednesday’s earnings slate, with Walmart due Thursday.

The post Wall Street futures flat ahead of Fed minutes: 5 things to know before open appeared first on Invezz